The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) today published its estimates of GDP by Autonomous Regions for the fourth quarter of 2025, using the METCAP methodology (Methodology for the Quarterly Estimation of GDP by Autonomous Community), developed by the Institution. METCAP provides the first freely accessible estimates in Spain offering this information. Updates are published on a quarterly basis and are available to all users on the AIReF website:
These estimates are produced once the National Statistics Institute (Instituto Nacional de Estadística) publishes Spain’s quarterly advance GDP figure. Accordingly, on 30 January 2026 the data corresponding to the fourth quarter of the year were published. A summary of the GDP growth estimates by Autonomous Community, and their evolution in both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year terms, can be seen in the tables below.
In year-on-year terms, the Comunitat Valenciana recorded the highest GDP growth (3.2%), followed by Andalusia and the Community of Madrid, both of which posted growth of 2.9% in the fourth quarter of the year. Asturias recorded the lowest GDP growth rate (1.8%), followed by Galicia (1.9%) and the Chartered Community of Navarre, Aragon and the Basque Country, all of which posted growth of 2%.
In quarter-on-quarter terms, the Comunitat Valenciana again showed the strongest performance, with GDP growth of 1%, followed by Andalusia and Castile and León, both recording growth of 0.9%. At the lower end of the distribution, the Chartered Community of Navarre, Cantabria, the Basque Country, the Principality of Asturias and La Rioja posted the weakest quarterly results, with quarter-on-quarter GDP growth of 0.6% in all cases.
As is customary, AIReF provides users with an easy-to-use web-based interface that allows comparisons across Autonomous Communities and with national GDP.
The quantitative methodology combines three sources of statistical information for regional analysis: monthly short-term indicators disaggregated at territorial level; annual data compiled under national accounts standards by the Regional Accounts of Spain (CRE); and national-level estimates published in the Quarterly National Accounts (CNTR). This approach brings together the timeliness of short-term indicators, the structural information provided by the CRE and a quarterly national benchmark that ensures consistency across individual regional estimates.
