Working Paper 1/2019. AIReF model for forecasting pension expenditure in Spain
You can read more here: Working Paper: AIReF model for forecasting pension expenditure in Spain
Working Paper 6/2018. Introducing Uncertainty on Fertility and Survival in the Spanish Population Projections: A Monte Carlo Approach
You can read more here: Working Paper: Introducing Uncertainty on Fertility and Survival in the Spanish Population Projections: A Monte Carlo Approach
Working Paper 5/2018. Predicting Spanish Emigration and Inmigration
You can read more here: Predicting Spanish Emigration and Immigration
Working Paper 4/2018: Impact evaluation of the 2011 pension reform on new pensioners: period 2013-2015 Only available in Spanish
Documento de trabajo 4/2018. Impact evaluation of the 2011 pension reform on new pensioners: period 2013-2015
Working Paper 3/2018. Some elements for a revamped fiscal framework for Spain
Access to Working Paper 3/2018. Some elements for a revamped fiscal framework for Spain
Working Paper 2/2018. Estimating Output Gap: a Beauty Contest Approach
Working Paper 2/2018. Estimating Output Gap: a Beauty Contest Approach
Working paper 1/2018. Some Unpleasant Labor Arithmetics: A tale of the Spanish 2012 Labor Market Reform
The 2008 economic and financial crisis and its posterior EU banking and sovereign debt dimensions highlighted some unresolved structural issues in the Spanish labor market, exacerbating unemployment issues. Duality between permanent and temporary workers, excessive rigidities in wage setting and collective bargaining arrangements and extreme volatility, particularly in employment, stand...
Working Paper 3/2017. A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Spanish System of Regional Finance
Working Paper 3/2017. A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Spanish System of Regional Finance
Working Paper 2/2017 What do we mean by Public Consumption. Only available in Spanish
What do we mean by Public Consumption Access to the simulator
Working Paper 1/2017 – Non-linear modeling of Spanish GDP. Only available in Spanish
Non-linear modeling of Spanish GDP
Working Paper 3/2016. El empleo en la prestación de servicios públicos (2002-2014). El caso del subsector de Comunidades Autónomas. Only available in spanish
Documento de Trabajo 3-2016. El empleo en la prestación de servicios públicos (2002-2014). El caso del subsector de Comunidades Autónomas
Working Paper 2-2016. Redistribution, risk-sharing and stabilization of income per capita of households by regions 2016-07-21
Related documents: Working Paper 2-2016. Redistribution, risk-sharing and stabilization of income per capita of households by regions
Working Paper 1/2016 Medium-term forecast for de Spanish Economy. BVARX modeling
BVARX Modeling of the Spanish economy.pdf
Public Administrations debt could have reached 30pp less had the expenditure rule been applied. Only available in spanish
Documentos relacionados: Documento divulgativo Regla de Gasto Presentación Impacto de la Regla de Gasto en las Finanzas Públicas Ndp Impacto de la Regla de Gasto en la sostenibilidad de las finanzas públicas
Working Paper 5/2015 Modeling interest payments for macroeconomic assessment
In this paper we present a methodology designed to estimate the future path of interest payments by the Government. The basic idea is to represent in a compact way the joint dynamics of debt liabilities and interest payments as a function of five elements: the initial outstanding amounts of debt,...
Working Paper 4/2015. Integrated model of short-term forecasting of the Spanish economy (MIPred model)
This paper presents a methodology for predicting in real-time GDP and its demand components simultaneously. The model consists of a set of dynamic factor models for both GDP and its demand components, plus a balancing procedure to ensure the transversal consistency of these forecasts, thus providing a consistent set of...
Working Paper 3/ 2015: Quarterly regional GDP flash estimates for the Spanish economy (METCAP model)
In this paper we propose a methodology to estimate on a quarterly basis the GDP of the different regions of Spain, providing quarterly profiles for the annual official observed data. In this way, the paper offers a new instrument for short-term monitoring that allows the analysts to quantify the degree...
Working Paper 2/2015 Personal Income Tax: Modeling and Forecasting. Only available in Spanish
Personal Income Tax: Modeling and Forecasting Access to the simulator
Working Paper 1/2015: The Pension Revaluation Index: Proposals to solve the problem of circularity. Only available in Spanish
The Pension Revaluation Index: Proposals to solve the problem of circularity
Working Paper 2/2014 Spanish Public Debt Sustainability Analysis
This note develops an overarching debt sustainability analysis (DSA) framework, encompassing three of its main dimensions: (i) a traditional (deterministic) sustainability exercise, based on a simple accounting application involving the debt accumulation equation; (ii) an assessment of the realism of the assumptions underlying the deterministic debt projections; and (iii) a...
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