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Income and unemployment modeling methodology

The medium-term resources of the fiscal sheet correspond to those estimated by AIReF for its fiscal scenario published in October 2022. Starting in 2027, it is divided between tax revenues and social contributions and the rest of the revenues.

The rest of the income is considered to evolve at the same rate as nominal GDP. For tax revenues, rate regression models are developed. In the case of social contributions, it is considered that they evolve with the wage bill.

AIReF
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