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    AIReF English

    “Our mission is to guarantee effective compliance of the financial sustainability principle by the General Goverment”

    AIReF recommends activating the escape clause, establishing a medium-term fiscal strategy, and implementing the proposals of the Spending Review

    Rueda de Prensa en AIReF
      The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility continues to use an analysis framework based on two alternative scenarios, which differ in their estimated drop in GDP in 2020, ranging from -10.1% to -12.4% in 2020 depending on the duration of the pandemic  In budgetary matters, AIReF estimates a general government deficit of 11.9% in 2020, ... Read more

    AIReF resumes publication of MIPred, having adapted the model to the situation caused by COVID-19

    Mipred
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility processes labour market variables to determine the effect of ERTEs on employment and uses information on the de-escalation process The updated MIPred shows a drop in GDP of 14.1% in the second quarter  The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) has resumed the publication of MIPRed, its real time ... Read more

    Cristina Herrero calls for a comprehensive exit strategy that supports recovery and ensures the sustainability of public accounts

    Cristina Herrero en la Comisión de Reconstrucción
    This strategy will be stronger and more credible if the design and definition is supported by the institutional cooperation of all the public administrations and with the greatest possible support from parliament and economic players. Access the AIReF President's presentation (Only available in Spanish) The President of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), Cristina ... Read more

    Cristina Herrero highlights the challenge faced by european economies in designing reform and investment plans to boost medium term growth

    C.Herrero-presidenta-de-la-AIReF
    The president of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), Cristina Herrero, participated today in the International Conference of Councils on Economic Policy, organized by the German Council of Economic Experts (Sachverständigenrat Wirtschaft) and the French Council of Economic Analysis (Conseil D'Analyse Économique, CAE). The Conference assembled the economic advisors of the major governments. In ... Read more

    AIReF resumes monthly stability target monitoring and includes an analysis of measures to counteract COVID-19

    Informes de AIReF
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) has changed the publication of the stability target monitoring, merging expenditure and revenue trends and assessment of compliance with the targets into a single fact sheet. On this occasion, it also includes a detailed analysis of the measures that have been adopted to deal with COVID-19. You can ... Read more

    AIReF President Cristina Herrero appears before the Congressional Finance Commission

    Cristina-Herrero-presidenta-de-la-AIReF
    ACCESS THE AIREF PRESIDENT’S PRESENTATION TO THE FINANCE COMMISSION Only available in Spanish ACCESS THE VIDEO OF THE AIREF PRESIDENT’S APPEARANCE Only available in Spanish The president of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), Cristina Herrero, appeared today before the Finance Commission of the Congress of Deputies to give her view on the economic ... Read more

    AIReF publishes the first quarterly estimate of the composition of national GDP by Region

    Mipred PIB regional
    The METCAP methodology makes it possible to estimate the composition of quarterly national GDP by Regions. Today the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) published the estimate of regional GDP for the first quarter of 2020 through the methodology called METCAP (Metodología de Estimación Trimestral por Comunidades Autónomas del PIB - Methodology for Quarterly Estimation ... Read more