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    AIReF English

    “Our mission is to guarantee effective compliance of the financial sustainability principle by the General Goverment”

    Cristina Herrero highlights the role of the IFIs in the future fiscal framework as an integrating link between the European framework and the reality of each country

    The president of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), Cristina Herrero, took part today in a workshop on fiscal rules organised by Fedea, in which she stressed the need to strengthen the role of the Independent Fiscal Institutions (IFIs) in view of the reform of the fiscal framework at European and national level. In ... Read more

    Income and unemployment modeling methodology

    The medium-term resources of the fiscal sheet correspond to those estimated by AIReF for its fiscal scenario published in October 2022. Starting in 2027, it is divided between tax revenues and social contributions and the rest of the revenues. The rest of the income is considered to evolve at the same rate as nominal GDP. ... Read more

    Methodology of health, education and long-term care models

    This technical document develops the methodologies used to forecast the ratio of spending on health, education and long-term care to GDP in Spain for the 2070 horizon used in the Opinion on the long-term sustainability of Public Administrations: the incidence of demographics. The document develops three different methodologies: the long-term health expenditure estimation methodology, the ... Read more

    The impact of pension system reforms between 2021 and 2023

    Law 21/2021 on the guarantee of the purchasing power of pensions and other measures to reinforce the financial and social sustainability of the public pension system modified the system of rewards and punishments in force to date, established the revaluation of pensions with the CPI and repealed the sustainability factor. AIReF has assessed the impact ... Read more

    Population projections 2022-2070

    AIReF developed in 2018 various tools for the projection of pension spending, including models and tools to estimate the expected evolution of demographic phenomena -fertility, mortality and net immigration- with the purpose of projecting the total population by cohorts. On the occasion of the new population projections d for the Opinion on Long-term Sustainability in ... Read more

    AIReF warns of the high pressure of an ageing population on public finances and calls for a comprehensive perspective for their sustainability

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE OPINION ON THE LONG-TERM SUSTAINABILITY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONS: THE IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHICS. PRESENTATION OF THE OPINION ON THE LONG-TERM SUSTAINABILITY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONS: THE IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHICS PRESS RELEASE OF THE OPINION ON THE LONG-TERM SUSTAINABILITY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONS: THE IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHICS OPINION ON THE LONG-TERM SUSTAINABILITY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONS: ... Read more

    AIReF reaffirms its commitment to Evaluation and presents an Observatory of findings and proposals

    Cristina Herrero points out that evaluation bodies must be given a strong mandate and sufficient financial and human resources to carry out their work It highlights the decrease in the amounts evaluated in the framework of the Spending Review commissioned by the central government, in contrast to the growing interest of the Autonomous Regions AIReF's ... Read more

    Airef publishes the follow-up of the 2022 fourth quarter recommendations

    AIReF
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility made 11 recommendations aimed at strengthening the role of the General State Budget in the design of economic policy, reinforcing budgetary stability and giving the public accounts a medium-term orientation AIReF's recommendations are governed by the comply-or-explain principle, the institution's main tool for fulfilling its mandate MINHAFP and MINECO ... Read more

    AIReF publishes the fourth quarter estimate of the composition of national GDP by Autonomous Regions

    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) published today the estimate of the GDP of the Autonomous Regions for the fourth quarter of 2022 using the methodology known as METCAP (Methodology for Quarterly Estimates of GDP by Autonomous Region), created by the Institution. METCAP provides the first open-access estimate in Spain that offers these data ... Read more

    AIReF publishes the evaluation of institutional publicity at Regional Government of Castile and Leon

    Publicidad CYL
     The evaluation by the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) highlights the importance of institutional publicity on the media system  AIReF makes 19 proposals to improve governance, procurement criteria, evaluation, transparency and the distribution of funds AIReF proposes a revision of the model of jurisdictional distribution differentiated by medium, greater professionalism in the creative design ... Read more